Analysis: Latest poll results 'not fabulous for anyone'

September 27, 2022

Smaller political parties are “putting their heads above the parapet for the first time” amid a turbulent couple of weeks in the halls of power, according the latest 1News Kantar poll.

The poll indicates we could see the National Party form the next government with ACT come election time.

National is sitting on 37%, unchanged from a poll carried out seven weeks ago.

Labour, meanwhile, is up 1% to sit on 34%.

Both ACT and the Greens are sitting on 9%, while New Zealand First is unchanged at 3%.

Te Pāti Māori remains steady on 2%.

“It’s not a fabulous poll for anyone,” 1News political editor Jessica Mutch McKay said.

“Yes, Labour has stopped its slide through the 30s but it’s hardly something to be popping the champagne about.”

She added that National’s “momentum has really stopped in their climb”, with party leader Christopher Luxon’s personal ratings also seeing a drop with voters from 25% in May to 21% today.

But it wasn’t all negative, with the smaller parties “putting their heads above the parapet for the first time”, she said.

“In terms of the timing, though, when you’ve had the Prime Minister in New York … we’ve had her in London, mixing and mingling with world leaders, you’d think that Labour would be doing better in the poll and we haven’t seen that today.”