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Associated Press

Over a million immigrants gone from US labour force under Trump

Mon, Sep 1
Federal agents stand at a checkpoint operated by the Metropolitan Police Department and federal agencies, including officers from ICE and Homeland Security, in Washington.

It's tomato season and Lidia is harvesting on farms in California's Central Valley.

She is also anxious. Attention from US Immigration Control and Enforcement could upend her life more than 23 years after she illegally crossed the US-Mexico border as a teenager.

"The worry is, they’ll pull you over when you’re driving and ask for your papers," said Lidia, who spoke to The Associated Press on condition that only her first name be used because of her fears of deportation. "We need to work. We need to feed our families and pay our rent."

As parades and other events celebrating the contributions of workers in the US are held today for the Labor Day holiday, experts said US President Donald Trump's stepped-up immigration policies were impacting the nation's labour force.

More than 1.2 million immigrants disappeared from the labour force from January through the end of July, according to preliminary Census Bureau data analysed by the Pew Research Centre. That included people who were in the country illegally as well as legal residents.

Immigrants made up almost 20% of the US workforce and that data showed 45% of workers in farming, fishing and forestry were immigrants, according to Pew senior researcher Stephanie Kramer. About 30% of all construction workers were immigrants and 24% of service workers were immigrants, she added.

The nation has had the first decline in the overall immigrant population after the number of people in the US illegally reached an all-time high of 14 million in 2023.

"It’s unclear how much of the decline we've seen since January is due to voluntary departures to pursue other opportunities or avoid deportation, removals, underreporting or other technical issues," Kramer said. "However, we don’t believe that the preliminary numbers indicating net-negative migration are so far off that the decline isn’t real."

Trump campaigned on a promise to deport millions of immigrants working in the US illegally. He said he was focusing deportation efforts on "dangerous criminals", but most people detained by ICE had no criminal convictions. At the same time, the number of illegal border crossings plunged under his policies.

Pia Orrenius, a labour economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, said immigrants normally contributed at least 50% of job growth in the US.

"The influx across the border from what we can tell is essentially stopped, and that's where we were getting millions and millions of migrants over the last four years," she said. "That has had a huge impact on the ability to create jobs."

'Crops did go to waste'

Just across the border from Mexico in McAllen, Texas, corn and cotton fields were about ready for harvesting. Elizabeth Rodriguez worried there wouldn’t be enough workers available for the gins and other machinery once the fields are cleared.

Immigration enforcement actions at farms, businesses and construction sites brought everything to a standstill, said Rodriguez, director of farmworker advocacy for the National Farmworker Ministry.

"In May, during the peak of our watermelon and cantaloupe season, it delayed it. A lot of crops did go to waste," she said.

In Ventura County, California, northwest of Los Angeles, Lisa Tate managed her family business growing citrus fruits, avocados and coffee on eight ranches and 323 hectares.

Most of the men and women who worked their farms were contractor-provided day labourers. There were days earlier this year when crews would be smaller. Tate was hesitant to place that blame on immigration policies. But the fear of ICE raids spread quickly.

Dozens of area farmworkers were arrested late this spring.

"People were being taken out of laundromats, off the side of the road," Tate said.

Lidia, the farmworker who spoke to the AP through an interpreter, said her biggest fear was being sent back to Mexico. Now 36, she was married with three school-age children who were born here.

"I don't know if I'll be able to bring my kids," said Lidia. "I’m also very concerned I’d have to start from zero. My whole life has been in the United States."

From construction to health care

Construction sites in and around McAllen also "are completely dead", Rodriguez said.

"We have a large labour force that is undocumented," she said. "We’ve seen ICE particularly targeting construction sites and attempting to target mechanic and repair shops."

The number of construction jobswere down in about half of US metropolitan areas, according to an Associated General Contractors of America analysis of government employment data. The largest loss of 7200 jobs was in the Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, California, area. The Los Angeles-Long Beach-Glendale area lost 6200 jobs.

"Construction employment has stalled or retreated in many areas for a variety of reasons," said Ken Simonson, the association’s chief economist. "But contractors report they would hire more people if only they could find more qualified and willing workers and tougher immigration enforcement wasn't disrupting labour supplies."

Kramer, with Pew, also warned about the potential impact on health care. She said immigrants made up about 43% of home health care aides.

The Service Employees International Union represented about 2 million workers in health care, the public sector and property services. An estimated half of long-term care workers who were members of SEIU 2015 in California were immigrants, said Arnulfo De La Cruz, the local's president.

"What’s going to happen when millions of Americans can no longer find a home care provider?" De La Cruz said. "What happens when immigrants aren’t in the field to pick our crops? Who's going to staff our hospitals and nursing homes?"

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